Gale Warning, Freezing Spray Warning

Synopsis...A low pressure is moving south into the Davis Strait from Baffin Bay. Winds will continue to be on the increase Monday.

*** Gale Warning, Freezing Spray Warning in All Areas ***

Monday...Cloudy, with snow likely and very windy. Strongest winds beginning in the Davis Strait near Baffin Island early and working its way southeast toward Nuuk and the Greenland coast. Northerly winds will be sustained at over 40 knots at times. Expect significant wave heights of 5-6 meters.

Winds picking up again on Sunday

Synopsis...A low pressure will move well south of the Davis Strait, however pressure gradients will increase on Sunday possibly increasing the winds to gale strength in the southeast waters.

Sunday...Winds shifting to winds from the north and increasing, especially in the south. Winds will increase to 30-35 knots southeast of the Davis Strait near the Greenland coast by evening. Lowest winds will be in the Davis Strait near Baffin Island where the northerly winds will be increasing to about 20 knots. Seas will be roughest in the waters near Greenland towards Nuuk, with possible wave heights reaching 5 meters.

Monday...A low pressure will be moving south from Baffin Bay. This will help increase the chances of precipitation and maintain the winds. Strongest winds will be near the Greenland coast once again, south of the Davis Strait, where sustained winds may exceed gale strength.

Calm day Saturday

Synopsis...Things will be calming down on Saturday in all areas. Winds will begin to pick up again on Sunday as a weaker low pressure moves south of the area.

Tonight and Saturday....Northerly winds gradually diminishing in all regions from west to east. Winds will be light on Saturday, ranging from 5-10 knots north to 15-20 knots south. Expect breaks in the clouds but temperatures will remain cold, near 0 degrees Celsius.

Sunday...Northerly winds increasing to 20-30 knots. Increasing clouds with a chance of snow, especially south.

Gale Warning Continued

Synopsis....Strong northerly winds will continue in the Davis Strait and surrounding waters over the next 24 hours.

*** GALE WARNING CONTINUING FOR ALL WATERS ***

Friday...High winds will be shifting southeast throughout the day. The strongest winds will occur later in the Day in the "Brevoort East" area southeast of the Davis Strait near the Greenland coast, where sustained winds will be over 40 knots. Significant wave heights may reach 6-8 meters in this area as well. Winds will be decreasing to 20-25 knots in the western Davis Strait near Baffin Island. Also expect scattered snow showers over the waters possibly mixed with rain over land.

Saturday...Winds are expected to diminish in all areas.

***Gale Warning in all areas****

Synopsis...A low pressure over the Davis Strait has moved southeast and merged with a low pressure near the southern tip of Greenland. This is allowing pressure gradients to strengthen rapidly and northerly winds to increase to gale strength.

*** GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS THROUGH THURSDAY ***

The rest of today...Northerly winds increasing to gale strength. Cold with light snow showers likely.

Thursday...Very windy and cold. Sustained northerly winds expected to exceed 40 knots late. The strongest winds will be in the western strait near Baffin Island. Significant wave heights could reach 6-8 meters, especially in the western strait.

Outlook...Sustained winds of 35-40 knots is expected to continue into Friday.

Weather taking a turn downhill

Synopsis...A low pressure is currently moving into the Davis Strait, bringing clouds and some snow. As the low pressure moves past the Davis Strait, winds will increase significantly. Winds are expected to reach gale force in all areas by Thursday.

*** Gale force winds expected Thursday***

Wednesday....Mostly cloudy and cold, with snow showers. Northerly winds increasing, starting near Baffin Island and working it's way across the whole strait. Winds will be reaching 30 knots (sustained) in the evening.

Thursday...Windy and continued cold. Sustained northerly winds could reach over 40 knots. Significant wave heights may exceed 6 meters.

Light winds today...winds picking up late Tuesday

Synopsis...There are no major weather systems near the Davis Strait, leaving weak pressure gradients and weak winds today and tomorrow. A low pressure will be arriving on Tuesday, and the pattern may return to a more windy one after the low passes on Wednesday.

Rest of today...Mostly cloudy with possible fog in the evening. Winds should be less than 10 knots and from variable directions, with the exception of the south Strait which may have 10-15 knot winds at times. Temperatures remaining near 0 degrees Celsius.

Tuesday...Increasing clouds with a chance of snow showers. West winds increasing at the mouth of the Hudson Strait, but remaining light on the Davis Strait until late. Winds will begin to increase on the Davis Strait to about 20 knots by days end.

Outlook...There is a possibility of gale force winds in all areas on Wednesday as northerly winds behind the low pressure will be increasing.

"Good" weather continuing

Snyopsis...South winds may increase a bit today as a low pressure moves through Baffin Bay.

The rest of today...Breezy at times, with a south wind possibly increasing to 20-25 knots, especially in the western Strait near Baffin Island. Winds should reduce back to to 10-15 knots everywhere late.

Monday...Generally calm conditions, with winds of 10-15 knots.

Outlook...A weak low pressure system is expected to reach the area on Tuesday.

Good weather this weekend

Synopsis...a ridge of high pressure will be building south of the strait this weekend, cutting off the pressure gradient and winds.

The rest of today...Mostly cloudy with some light snow showers possible. Windy southeast of the strait near the Greenland coast. Winds ranging from 10 knots in the far western strait near Baffin Island to over 40 knots near the Greenland coast south of the strait. Winds will be diminishing tonight everywhere.

Saturday and Sunday....Calmer weather and lighter winds with winds dropping to generally 10 knots or less in most areas. A low pressure will move into Baffin Bay Sunday, but the impact on the Davis Strait looks minimal at this time.

Gale's picking up in southeastern strait

Synopsis....Yet another low pressure near the southern tip of Greenland will increase winds once again in the strait for Friday. The strongest winds will be on the Greenland side, and south of the strait where winds will likely reach beyond gale force. Winds look to be calming down this weekend.

Tonight and Friday...Northerly winds increasing, especially in the eastern strait near Greenland. Weakest winds closest to Baffin Island. Winds will range from 15 knots in the western strait to over 40 knots south of the strait near the coast of Greenland. Winds will begin to decrease everywhere late in the day. Scattered light snow showers are possible, with temperatures near freezing.

Outlook....Looks like a calm weekend, with winds diminishing to near 10 knots!

Calmer conditions

Synopsis...The gale warning for the southern Davis Strait has been discontinued as winds have dropped to below gale strength in all areas. Winds will generally be lower as the pressure gradients are relaxing.

Rest of today...Northerly winds sustained around 30 knots will be gradually decreasing to around 20 knots in all areas by later today. Winds may briefly pick up to around 30 knots in the western strait near Baffin Island tonight.

Thursday...Winds increasing to 30-35 knots in the eastern Strait near the Greenland coast, 20-30 knots elsewhere.

Outlook....No major systems coming.

Gale Warning from the Davis Strait southward

Synopsis....A strong low pressure near the southern tip of Greenland has increased the winds to Gale force from the Davis Strait southward. Winds should gradually decrease Wednesday and Thursday.

*** Gale warning ***
Rest of today....A gale warning is in effect for the area circled in red on the map. Northerly sinds will peak at around 00 UTC with sustained winds of 35-40 knots. Winds in the north strait will be slightly less.

Wednesday...Winds gradually decreasing, dropping to below 30 knots by around 15 UTC.

Outlook...Winds should continue to decrease through Thursday.

Wind and some more wind

Synopsis....A 1038 mb high pressure centered near Cape Dorset along with a 984 mb low off the Canadian maritime coast is causing windy conditions in the Davis Strait from the north-south pressure gradient. This will remain the story over the next couple days as new low pressures will continue to move south of the area while a high pressure center will persist over Baffin Island.

Rest of today....Mostly cloudy, and cold, with north winds sustained around 30 knots everywhere.

Tuesday...Continued windy and cold conditions. Northelry winds may increase to sustained winds of 35 knots at times.

Outlook...No major low pressure systems are forecast to move into the Davis Strait area.

Winds picking up a bit

Synopsis....High pressure is in control of the area and will remain so over the next couple days. However as low pressure systems move well south of the area, the pressure gradient will be increasing at times, increasing the northerly winds. Gale force winds are possible in all regions of the Davis Strait on Monday, but most likely in the eastern Strait.

Monday....Increasing winds. Sustained winds will begin to reach 30 knots in the eastern strait around 00 UTC, and will spread through the whole strait by 12 UTC. Strongest winds will be in the eastern strait, possibly reaching 35-40 knots with higher gusts near the Greenland coast around 18 UTC. The roughest seas will be just south of the central Davis Strait with significant wave heights of 4-6 meters beginning around 08 UTC and spreading to all regions of the Strait.

Tuesday...Northerly winds of 30 knots are expected to continue in all regions.

Lowest winds today

Synopsis...Calm weather today as a high pressure is moving into the region. Winds will be on the increase periodically as low pressures well south of the area will be increasing the pressure gradient as they go by.

The rest of today...Mostly cloudy, with northerly winds of 10-15 knots. Winds will begin to increase to 20 knots in the eastern Strait late. Continued cold with temperatures near 0 degrees Celsius.

Sunday....Partly cloudy and breezy. Sustained northerly winds increasing to 20-25 knots, strongest in the eastern Strait. Temperatures remaining cold.

Outlook...There may be gale force winds in the eastern strait beginning Monday 00 UTC.

Gale warning in eastern Davis Strait

Synopsis....a gale warning is currently in effect for the eastern Davis Strait (see the area circled red on yesterday's forecast labeled 'Gale force winds expected'). Winds will peak today around 13 UTC, then gradually die down. There will be a break in the winds for about a 12 hour period overnight tonight. Then winds (not as strong as today) will be picking up throughout the day Saturday lasting into Sunday.

*** Gale warning in the eastern Davis Strait for today ***
Rest of today....Windy, especially in the eastern Davis Strait with light rain or snow showers. Strongest winds in the eastern strait, where winds will be sustained at 35 knots from the south with the strongest winds around 13 UTC. Winds will diminish to about 20 knots by 00 UTC. Weakest winds will be in the western strait near Baffin Island, where winds will be about 15 knots. There should be a period where the winds drop to around 10 knots or less in all regions of the strait from about 00 UTC tonight (Oct 6) to 12 UTC Saturday (Oct. 6).

Saturday...a strengthening low pressure well south of the region will still manage to kick up winds again and a chance of snow showers as well. Northerly winds will be increasing in all regions of the Davis Strait to about 25 knots around 18 UTC.

Outlook...it may take the better part of the day before winds of around 25 knots diminish. High pressure will slowly be building in, so there is hope in sight for some calm weather.

Forecast Update

Update....
A low pressure in the Foxe Basin is beginning to spread clouds and increase winds in the area. Winds are expected to reach Gale force later today (by 00 UTC Oct. 5), with strongest winds in the eastern Davis Strait.

Rest of today....Cloudy with snow developing. Southeasterly winds increasing to 30 knots (sustained) by 00 UTC Oct 5.

Friday...Snow, possibly changing to or mixing with rain, and windy. Sustained southerly winds of 35-40 knots possible from 00 UTC - 20 UTC, strongest in the eastern Davis Strait. Significant wave heights of 6-7 meters possible during this time, also greatest in the eastern strait.

Outlook....Winds should die down a bit Oct 6. Clouds and precipitation could hang around through Oct. 7. High pressure may finally build in afterwards.

Gale Warning South of Davis Strait Oct 4,5

Synopsis:
A low pressure will be moving up Hudson Bay towards Baffin Island Thursday and Friday. Winds will be shifting to a southeasterly (from the southeast) direction and increasing in strength. They will reach Gale strength in the "Brevoort" region circled in red on the map on Thursday, lasting through Friday.

Thursday....Southeasterly winds increasing everywhere. Winds will be strongest south of the Davis Strait where Gale Warnings are in place (the red circled region on the map). Winds there will be sustained at around 35 knots. Winds in the Davis Strait will be sustained at up to 20 knots at times. Mostly cloudy skies with rain or snow possible late. Temperatures near 0 degrees C.

Friday....a weak low pressure may develop near the mouth of the Hudson Strait. This will increase the southerly winds in the east Brevoort region, and increase the northerly winds in the west Brevoort region. Strongest winds expected in the east Brevoort region with sustained winds up to 40 knots. Southeasterly winds increasing to 25-30 knots in the Davis Strait. Significant wave heights of 4-6 meters expected in the Davis Strait. Snow likely everywhere, then possibly changing to rain or mixing with rain.

Almanac for Nuuk:
Day High(F)/Low(F)/Highest sustained wind speed (knots)/Highest wind gust (knots)/weather
Oct. 1 42/30/32/60
Oct. 2 39/32/46 /67/rain,snow
Oct. 3 33/32/15/-/rain,snow

Low pressure moving away from region

Picture: Weather map for the area today.
Wind directions are in Red, Low pressure and it's forecast path in black.

Synopsis:
A strong low pressure moved over the Davis Strait last night, with an estimated minimum central sea level pressure of 974 mb. This brought rain, snow, and strong winds to Nuuk as well, with reports of winds gusting up to 78 mph (67 knots). The low pressure is now exiting the region, but strong winds will persist over the waters today, gradually diminishing from west to east Wednesday.

The rest of today... Gale warnings are in place for all waters. Winds are sustained at 30-40 knots with higher gusts, especially over the West Davis Strait and near the mouth of the Hudson Strait. Significant wave heights of 6-8 meters expected, everywhere, with the roughest seas at the mouth of the Hudson Strait. Temperatures cold, with scattered light snow showers likely, possibly mixed with rain in Nuuk.

Wednesday...Winds will be diminishing from west to east, with winds dropping below a sustained wind speed of 20 knots on the west Davis Strait by around 12 UTC. Winds in the waters around Nuuk are expected to be sustained at 35 knots with higher gusts from 00 UTC to 09 UTC, then gradually diminishing but remaining above 20 knots the rest of the day.

Outlook: A new, weaker, system will be approaching on Thursday. Winds should shift to southerly on Thursday ahead of this system and clouds will be on the increase. Will monitor this and update in the next forecast post. At this time the low does not appear to be a major event.

Map of areas to expect high winds

Hopefully you can see the map I attached. I circled 3 areas in red, labeled (1), (2), and (3). Those are the areas that will see the strongest winds and roughest seas.

(1) Southerly winds ahead of the low pressure system will pick up here in the eastern Davis Strait around 21 UTC today (Oct. 1) and will last for about 12 hours. Sustained winds will be up to 35 knots with higher gusts. Significant wave heights will be 5-6 meters. Also expect the most precipitation here during this time, probably in the form of snow.

(2) Westerly winds sustained at 40 knots out of the Hudson Strait will be picking up at about 00 UTC Oct. 2 and lasting until 00 UTC Oct. 3. Gale warnings are in place here. Significant wave heights of 5-6 meters expected.

(3) Northerly winds sustained at 30-35 knots with higher gusts on the back side of the low pressure will pick up in the west Davis Strait last, probably around 15 UTC on Oct. 2. Signifcant wave heights of 6-8 meters expected. Winds will gradually diminish Oct. 3, dropping to below 20 knots around 12 UTC Oct. 3. Expect scattered light snow showers as here during this time as well.